[ALA]

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Q #2: I enjoyed the underdog system that you had last year. Will you be introducing a similar dog system in 2012?

A #2: No underdog system for 2012. I spent many hours trying to develop an underdog system that I thought could win consistently, but unfortunately, I was not successful. I will keep working on it though so that we can have one for the 2013 season. If anyone has an underdog system that has worked well in previous years, I would appreciate it if you would send it to me.

Q #3: Do any of the five systems take into consideration the starting pitchers?

A #3: No consideration given to starting pitchers. However, I will be tracking the listed starting pitchers in 2012, including if they are right or left-handed. I have a couple theories on starting pitchers and I would like to test them over the 2012 baseball season.

Q #4: Will you be posting the amount to bet like you did in 2011?

A #4: I won’t tell you how much to bet since it varies depending on the size of your bankroll. Instead, I will post the unit amount. For example, since the goal is to win 1 unit per series, let's say that the odds are -150 and the eligible team loses game #1. I would post the next day that you must wager enough to "win 2.5 units."

Q #5: When you post your picks, will you be posting the odds as well?

A #5: Yes. I will be posting the picks between 9 pm and midnight the night before the games (timing depends on when the last games end on the west coast), including odds and units to win. That way you can take advantage of the overnight 5 cent lines at 5dimes.com.

Q #6: Which sportsbook will you be using to post your odds?

A #6: I will be using the odds for 5dimes.com since it is available to residents from all countries and the odds are close to what is offered at pinnaclesports.com.

Q #7: Were you able to back-test your systems prior to 2011?

A #7: No. The main reason that we cannot back test past 2011 is that there is no way of collecting the RPI for each series; ESPN only lists the end-of-year RPI for previous years. In 2011, I was able to track the RPI for each game and of course, will continue doing so in 2012 and beyond.

Q #8: Have you been handicapping for a long time?

A #8: I am not a handicapper; what I do is find opportunities that are favorable for betting. Although I've been betting for several years and have had the good fortune of learning from expert handicappers, I've only been system betting for two years. The problem with handicappers is that you don't know who is for real. And they are so damn expensive that you end up making no money after paying juice and handicapping charges. I'm providing you a way that you can make selections yourself. You don't even have to use my services.

Q #9: In 2011, you used the Labouchere System to make up for previous losses. Have you eliminated the Labby system altogether?

A #9: For the time being, yes. We are using a modified Martingale money management system in 2012. Once the series ends, we start at 1 unit again for the next series.

Q #10: On average, how many picks per day will you post?

A #10: On average, the number of bets per day is about 3 to 4. You can find all of the bets made in 2011 with all five systems at 2011 Final Results. Please note that on certain days, there can be as many as 8 or more bets.

Q #11: Do you have worksheets to track my results?

A #11: Not at this time. I will be posting all of the picks at Guide to Baseball Betting, including odds and units won.

Q #12: Is there an easy way to keep track of who got swept by whom for system 5?

A #12: Unfortunately, no. At some point I will develop a database to track such things as sweeps. I make a note of the sweeps after the completion of a series and then find out when they are playing next. Not a very sophisticated tracking method I have to admit.

Q #13: Concerning the Run Line strategy, is there a formula for calculating the percentage of the unit that you bet on the RL and the ML for a given odds - how do you figure out is it 50-50 or 65-35, etc?

A #13: Generally 65/35 split is close enough unless the odds are very high for the favorite. The formula to calculate the “to win” amount for the favorite is (100/fav odds) x wager; the formula for the dog is wager/(dog odds/100). What I do is plug the formulas into a spreadsheet and change the wager size until it evens out.

Q #14: Concerning the RL strategy for system 5, if you get a push for the 2nd or 3rd game in the chase, do you consider it a win and end the series even if you have not recovered the loss from the previous games?

A #14: Yes, if there is a push using the RL strategy, you end the series and go on to the next. The reason that we use the RL strategy in system 5 is to manage somewhat the sizes of the wagers. With a 3-game chase, the wagers can get very big by the third game.

Q #15: Do you offer a money-back guarantee if I’m not happy with the picks?

A #15: Not at this time. Although you seldomly see money-back guarantees for picks services, it is something that I will consider for 2013 and subsequent years. Although I am confident that my systems will make money in 2012, it still is gambling and there are no guarantees in life. Can I guarantee that you will make 130 units this year like in 2011? No! But there is no reason to believe that in 2012 you can't make similar profits.

Q #16: Since you only have data for 2011, why do you think your systems will work in 2012 and beyond?

A #16: For the reason that they just make sense. For instance, with system #1, doesn't it make sense that a dominant team playing better right now will win at least 1 of the first two games of a series? Of course it does. The Managers' approach to every series is the same for all 30 MLB teams: win at least 2 games in a 3-game series. In order to accomplish this goal, they must win at least 1 of the first two games of a series. That is why the win % is so high on game 2 after a loss.