[KK]

Sport Football (Germany)
Event Stuttgart - Mainz
Selection over 2.5 goals
Strength 10/10
Date 07/04/2012
Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.74
Reasoning

Stuttgart have not lost in their 6 last league games. They played out an amazing 4-4 draw at Dortmund last week, and their morale should be high. Looking to qualify for Europe they need to continue their good form against todays guests, Mainz.

Mainz are fighting against relegation, a good win last week away to Werder Bremen, 3-0, helped them a lot. Their offense have been very good with the return of Zidan, and the support of Szalai, Ivanschitz, Muller and Choupo - Moting.

The same goes for Stuttgart with the acquisition of Ibisevic, and lethal form of Harnik and Schieber.

Stuttgarts last 9 of 11 matches ahve gone over 2.5, and so have Mainz latest 6 Bundelsiga games.


Sport Football (Germany)
Event Wolfsburg - Dortmund
Selection over 2.5 goals
Strength 10/10
Date 07/04/2012
Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.68
Reasoning

Important match for both teams. Wolfsburg are trying yo reach a Europa league spot, while Dortmund is looking to extend their unbeaten run as they are chased by Bayern in the race for the Bundesliga title.

Both teams have tons of attacking quality, and both attacking lines are in good form.

Dortmund played out a crazy 4-4 match last time at home against Stuttgart, prior to that game they won 6-1 away at Köln.

Wolfsburg, with 4 straight wins, have seeb over 2.5 goals in 7 of their 8 latest games and also the last 7 of 8 matches between these two teams have gone over 2.5.

Perhaps Wolfsburg can trouble their guests, who are priced at around 1.5 today, but in any case the over 2.5 have better value at around 1.68.



Sport Football (England - Prem)
Event Liverpool - Aston Villa
Selection over 2.5 goals
Strength 10/10
Date 07/04/2012
Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.78
Reasoning

Liverpool are on a poor run of form. And after losing to Wigan last time at home, they need a win desperately.

Reina is suspended, and Doni will make his first match from start for his new club. Agger and Johnson are still out in defense, and Kelly might be able to make an appearance as he is closing fitness.

The guests have a lot of injuries : R. Dunne, C. Cuellar, S. Petrov, D. Bent, C. Nzogbia among them. They have been fielding a young side in their latest matches and concede rather easily but they also score, as they dont give up and continue to work hard and try.

Last home match they lost 2-4 to Chelsea, after coming back from 0-2 down to 2-2. There set piece defending was very poor, and I think Liverpool can exploit that today. So Skrtel to get on the scoresheet could be a good bet also, as he is a very strong on corners.

The home sides last 3 matches at Anfield have seen over 2.5 goals, with their last 7 games against Villa, at the same venue, also going over 2.5.

Liverpool can by themselves cover this bet, and concidering Reinas suspension and Liverpools poor defending recently the guests young and spirited side could even chip in.