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Gammal 2012-08-20, 18:56   #21
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"Spelar du röd/svart är det alltid 51,4% risk att du torskar. "

Japp, men så ska man inte spela. Man väntar med att spela tills förutsättningarna är de rätta. Det finns mängder av olika metoder som bygger på att en viss kombination av utfall inte ska ha uppkommit X antal gånger innan man spelar.

Se exempel på ett system nedan

The Predictor Method
This month we have a system that we have not yet had a losing game
with. Very simple to operate, this system uses the familiar targets of
red and black and combines them with a familiar betting strategy, the
‘Martingale’.
The ‘Martingale’ method traditionally targets the outside boxes by
betting opposite to what has been previously hit and although this is a
fair method to use it is ultimately let down by the fact that the stakes
rise exponentially and a losing run is expected at some point in the
string of results. Basically, your bank or the table limit won’t allow you
to continue. If you use the ‘Martingale’ more carefully and more
restrictively then you can increase your chances of success somewhat.
For this system we predict 5 spins of the roulette wheel and apply a
favourable Martingale staking. We are not predicting the actual
number but the colour of the number, namely red or black. For
example, we might predict Red, Red, Black, Red and Black or R, R, B,
R and B.
Approaching a roulette table, what are the chances of us predicting the
next 5 spins correctly at any time? Well, for each spin we have a 1:2
chance of success (ignoring the zero) or 50%. Over 5 spins our
chances of success are 2x2x2x2x2 which equals 32. Basically we have
a 1 in 32 chance of success or 3% and this simply equates to the fact
that there are 32 different combinations of red/black over 5 spins. Our
prediction is just 1 of those possible variations and viewed in these
terms it is clear that it would be very difficult to guess 5 correct on the
trot.
The opposite of this is also true; that to get all five wrong would also
be very unlikely; to do this on all 5 spins would also be 1 in 32 or 3%.
This basically means that if you come to the roulette wheel with your
pre-determined 5-step sequence and you apply a ‘Martingale’ staking
then you will have a 97% chance of success because any hit within the
5 spins will produce an overall profit. Our preferred staking is actually
5, 10, 20, 40, and 80 and requires a bank of 155 to operate the plan
from scratch. If you were starting from 10 then double the bank would
be needed, 310. If your casino allows a smaller starting point then you
could use 2, 4, 8, 16, 32 but this will be up to your own preferences.

This is all fine but statistically we know that whatever sequence we
stick with will eventually arrive and when it does, a huge chunk of our
profits will be wiped out! This is fact. In theory, 1 out of every 32
sequences will match ours.
So how do we improve our chances even further? Well, our odds of
success reduce after our first win because the law of probability would
state that the exact same sequence is due to hit that much sooner
(remember, 1 out of every 32). If you have 20 wins then you might
begin to feel that a losing sequence is due sooner rather than later. To
avoid this and to keep our chances of success at 97% on every new
sequence we simply change our pre-determined pattern of 5. It could
be argued by mathematicians that every new pattern is just as likely
to come in as one used previously but our experiences over the past
months/years have found that this is not the case and that it is
actually very difficult to lose when you vary this pattern regularly. We
usually aim for around 10-20 units profit i.e. 10-20 winning patterns;
though if we are feeling lucky we will play on for longer.
Following is an example of how to apply this method as it stands:
My pre-determined sequences are going to be (10 in all):
1. RRBRB
2. BRBBR
3. RRRBR
4. BBRBB
5. BRBRR
6. BBRBR
7. RRRBB
8. BRRRB
9. RBRBB
10. BBRRR
If all 10 sequences are successful then we go back to the top and start
again. Here are numbers from a recent session at a local Palace
Casino.
11, 23, 20, 19, 10, 2, 36, 26, 8, 18, 35, 10, 32, 27, 26, 17, 12, 25,
23, 4, 35, 32, 29, 19, 14, 2, 14, and 23.
In terms of red and black the sequence would be thus:
B, R, B, R, B, B, R, B, B, R, B, B, R, R, B, B, R, R, R, B, B, R, B, R, R,
B, R, and R.

Starting at the first spin we would use pattern 1 (RRBRB) and start
backing each prediction in succession until we get a win, using the
staking plan shown earlier. As soon as we get a win we move onto the
next pattern of 5 and start over again. This would continue until all 10
patterns had been used.
The numbers above would have produced the following session
results:
We would start by backing red (RRBRB) and lose (11 black). Next spin
we back red again with our doubled stake and win (23 red and 1 unit
profit overall). Now we move onto the second pattern, using the first
predicted colour, black. The next spin of the table gets us a win (20
black and 2 units profit overall). Onto the 3rd pattern and we target
Red; we get a win at the first attempt (19 red and 3 units profit
overall). Onto the 4th pattern and we target black first. We get a win at
the first attempt (10 black and 4 units profit overall). Onto the 5th
pattern and we back black. The very next number is (2 black and 5
units profit overall). The 6th pattern has us now backing black. It loses
(36 red) and so we move onto the second colour in our sequence,
black again. This time we win (26 black and 6 units profit overall).
Onto the 7th pattern and we now target red. We lose (8 black comes
in). Next in the sequence is red again and this time we win (18 red
and 7 units profit overall). Onto the 8th pattern and now we target
black. We win immediately (35 black and 8 units profit overall). Onto
the 9th pattern and now we target red. We lose as 10 black comes in.
The next colour in the sequence is black. We lose again as 32 red
comes in. Onto the third colour in the sequence, this is red. This time
we win (27 red and 9 units profit overall). We now move onto the 10th
and final pattern, targeting black. We win on the first attempt (26
black and 10 units profit overall).
Overall we won 10 separate patterns and that would equate to 10 x
whatever our starting stake was. In the example shown earlier we
started with £5 and kept doubling. In this case we would have won
£50. Had we started with £10 then we would have won £100. We
could leave the table now or simply stop the session and watch
without betting and come in later. Alternatively, we could just continue
betting, starting at pattern 1 once more. If we had done that then we
would have won another 6 patterns before the numbers ran out. Less
than 30 spins is all that would have been needed in order to profit 16
units.
This method is very good as it stands but every now and then you may
very well encounter a nasty run of 5, basically a run that is totally
opposite to your chosen pattern. Our favoured method is an

improvement on what you have just read and in our opinion offers an
even greater chance of success.
The Safety First Approach
Gambling against the table not being able to hit the total opposite of
your chosen pattern of 5 is roughly 97% successful but if you are
extremely unlucky you may get caught. When this time comes you
must take it on the chin and not chase beyond this 5-colour pattern,
as the stakes will be too large in comparison to the profit.
There is a way to further improve your chances of success with this
approach and in mathematical terms the chances of success are
greater than 99.5%. The reason for this high percentage is simple;
you are going to use patterns of 9 numbers.
At first glance you might be thinking that to chase your pattern for 9
bets would require a huge bankroll and a generous casino and you’d
be right on both accounts. If you were to use a 9-colour pattern and
you started betting from the 1st spin then the stakes would be as
follows:
5, 10, 20, 40, 80, 160, 320, 640 and 1,280.
The total needed would be £2,555 with the final spin still only profiting
you £5 if it wins! We freely admit that this approach would be crazy to
follow and not only that, some casinos might be hesitant to allow
stakes greater than £1,000 on the outside boxes, although most now
do.
The secret is to play only the last 5 colours of your chosen pattern.
You play these only at a time when your 1st 4 have already lost.
Basically, for you to lose, the table has to throw out 9 colours on the
trot that are exactly opposite to your chosen 9. As already stated, the
chances of this happening are less than 0.5%. What is even safer
about this method is that you won’t just have 1 pattern of 9 numbers
but as before you will have 10.
Much the same as before you will create your own patterns of 9
numbers. Next you will wait for the signal – 1st 4 colours being
opposite to any of your 10 and then you will bet as you did earlier i.e.
using a ‘Martingale’ style staking.

Here we give you 10 patterns of our own and we will run them through
the ‘real’ numbers shown earlier.
1. RBRB BBRBR
2. RRBB RBRRR
3. BBBR BRRBR
4. BBRB BRBBR
5. BBRR RRRBR
6. RRRB RRRBR
7. BRBR BBBRB
8. RRBR RRBBB
9. RRRR RBRBB
10. BRRB RBRBB
Above are 10 sequences of 9 numbers, each different. The signal you
will be looking for is when an opposing sequence of 4 has come in. If
we take the 1st sequence as an example (RBRBBBRBR) we would be
waiting for BRBR (opposite the 1st 4 colours) to come in before we
started betting on the rest of the sequence (BBRBR). So for every
sequence of 9 we have a pattern of 4 that will trigger the betting for
that particular sequence. For the list above the triggers would be (we
have added the pattern to be bet following the trigger sequence:
1. BRBR (BBRBR)
2. BBRR (RBRRR)
3. RRRB (BRRBR)
4. RRBR (BRBBR)
5. RRBB (RRRBR)
6. BBBR (RRRBR)
7. RBRB (BBBRB)
8. BBRB (RRBBB)
9. BBBB (RBRBB)
10. RBBR (RBRBB)
Ok, so we have 10 triggers to look out for. Now let’s apply them to the
Palace set of numbers:
(B, (R, B, (R,) B,) B, (R,) B, B, (R,) (B, B, (R,) (R,) (B, B,) (R,) (R,)
(R, B,) B,) R,) B, (R, R, B, R), and R.
You should only ever bet 1 sequence at a time. Wins are highlighted in
Bold and triggers are bracketed.

Immediately we have a betting opportunity after the 1st 4 spins, with
pattern 1 being triggered. Therefore on spin 5 we will target black
(BBRBR) the 1st colour from this sequence. We get a hit on the 1st
spin. The next opportunity comes immediately if we check back the
last 4 spins (2-5), with pattern 7 being triggered (BBBRB). Therefore
on spin 5 we begin to play this sequence. We get a hit on the 1st spin.
By the 7th spin we have another sequence triggered, pattern 10
(RBRBB). Following this sequence we get a win on the 2nd spin.
Continuing we get another pattern triggered on the 10th spin, pattern
10 once more. We get a win on the 2nd spin. You probably get the idea
by now of how this works. The rest of the results are shown above
within the sequence of Palace numbers. Overall there were 12 wins
using this method and no sequence went beyond the 3rd bet.
This method is slightly less intense than the 1st method but it is safer
as only a complete opposite sequence of 9 colours will lose you your
stake money.
Overall we feel safest when we aim for a set amount of wins; once
achieved we would normally quit. As a test, run the above patterns
and triggers through several trial runs before starting to use real
money. One further point is that we have never used these methods
with online casinos and so we would recommend caution if
contemplating to use them there. As far as we are concerned the
results online are not honest but fixed, tilted towards making a set
profit for the casino/bookmaker in question. We would urge you to
stick to real casinos only.
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