[Cc]

From a geopolitical perspective, it’s obvious to ask what the effect will be of recent events in Ukraine. The EBU have ruled that televotes from the Crimea will be treated as Ukrainian votes, as Ukrainian telecoms operators are still active in the region.

Det där är lite märkligt i dubbel bemärkelse. Dels att Krim räknas till Ukraina (politiskt ställningstagande?) Dels killens antagande att Ryssland ÄNDÅ kommer att få Ukrainska röster.

Interestingly, the three countries the model projects as probable winners are all competing in the first semi-final on Tuesday night, along with Azerbaijan, Russia and Hungary, all of which are also highly rated. The only entrants in the second semi-final with more than 1% chance of winning are Norway and Greece, both of which clock in around 3%. The draw for the semi-finals is largely designed to prevent regional bloc voting, and doesn’t do much to prevent unbalanced draws like this one.

Det där är ju intressant som faan ur bettingsynvinkel. Kan man lira en sexling nånstans? 95% sannolikhet med den modellen på en sexling lär man väl aldrig hitta...nånsin?