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Gammal 2016-11-04, 13:27   #1
CristRo7
 
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Tip on AFC Bournemouth - Sunderland


To beat the bookmaker, you need to take non-standard steps in the analysis of football matches and bookmakers odds. The service of an advanced football stats Corner-Stats.com provides an opportunity to do it:

- Analyze non-standard markets (extra bets) (bets on corners, cards, handicap etc.), Because it is much easier to find a good bet there, as bookies pay less attention to additional markets and usually give a line on these markets automatically.

- Use non-standard tools for statistical analysis (similar matches, analysis of the odds, filters for sample matches and others.)

And now let’s move to the analysis of the match. The team of corner-stats.com has chosen to analyze the match of Bournemouth - Sunderland, which will be held on 11/05/16 in the framework of the English Premier League. Bournemouth is a favorite in this match with the odds of 1.63, first of all, due to the fact that it’s a home match. We also have a classic total over 2.5 goals in the match in equal chances. Analyzing these basic markets, corner-stats.com team didn’t see a serious mistake of bookmakers, which can be used for betting. But you should look more precisely at corners.

Firstly, take a look at Sunderland away matches. But for the analysis let’s take to attention not last team matches, but similar matches (it means comparison between Sunderland away matches with equal strength teams to Bournemouth). The sample of matches clearly shows that Sunderland completely loses the opponents with a mean difference -5.18 corners.

Similar home matches of Bournemouth show 4 wins out of 4 on corners, but there are not lots of such matches so let’s look at the sample of all home matches of the team in the EPL past 2 seasons. There are 18 wins of 24 matches. It shows excellent corners results of Bournemouth at home. And the team won on corners of such giants as the Tottenham (7-4), Everton (5-3), Manchester United (5-3), Liverpool (5-4), Arsenal (7-3).

So bet on Bournemouth on corners looks very attractive at Asian Handicap. Currently, bookmakers have not showed a line on the market, but it seems there will be approximately -2 for an equal chances (as in the recent match against Hull), and Corner-Stats.com team recommends courageously to bet on the outcome.
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