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Gammal 2021-01-14, 13:00   #837
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Spel 14.1


Spel 14.1

2-1 igår, och 1-2 dagen före. Totalt 3-3 hittills!!


1. NCAAB
Indiana - Purdue: Indiana -3
Odds: 1.91 (William Hill) kl 01:00

The Purdue Boilermakers head to Assembly Hall to face the in-state rival Indiana Hoosiers in a Big Ten conference showdown. Purdue has won seven in a row in the series, but this is a different Indian team and I think the Hoosiers snap their skid on Thursday. Indiana (KenPom #25) is a defensive-minded team, ranking 14th in adjusted defensive efficiency per KenPom.

That defense will be the reason if the Hoosiers get off the schneid against the Boilermakers. Indiana has the advantage on the perimeter and also has the bodies down low to hang with the Boilers. Purdue plays a four-out, one-in style on offense and they rely heavily on their big men. Their two most utilized players are starting 6’10”center Trevion Williams and reserve 7’4” freshman Zach Edey. Indiana’s frontcourt consisting of 6’9”center Trayce Jackson-Davis and 6’8” forward Race Thompson have the ability to neutralize the Boilermaker big men, putting pressure on the Purdue guards to win the game.

I’m skeptical Purdue will hit enough shots to leave Bloomington with a win. While the Boilermakers rank 49th in adjusted offensive efficiency per KenPom, they are too reliant on the three-point shot. Purdue ranks 82nd nationally by connecting on close to 36 percent of their threes, but it is inconsistent in the process. In their last game against Michigan State, the Boilermakers went 0-for-11 from deep in the first half–mustering only 16 points.

They were able to flip the script in the second half scoring by 39 points but still only shot 3-of-24 from three-point range on the night. Purdue was able to stage a comeback due to its interior offense, but Michigan State is not the same kind of interior team as Indiana. I’ll gladly lay the three points to back the home favorite in this one.




2. NHL
Vegas Golden Knights - Anaheim Ducks: Vegas -1.5
Odds: 2.24 (GGBET) kl 04:00

The Vegas Golden Knights are coming off a fairly successful but disappointing (by their standards) playoff run, in which they were defeated by Dallas in the Western Conference Finals. The Golden Knights will be deploying a very similar roster to the one they made the playoff run with, while adding bonafide top paring defenseman in Alex Pietrangelo. They will be competing in the NHL’s West Division, which is looking like it will be very top-heavy. These games against the weaker teams in the division will be a very important two points.

The Golden Knights will be looking to pick up where they left off against a much weaker rebuilding Anaheim Ducks team that has not seen NHL action since its last game on March 11 of 2020 when the NHL shut down due to the pandemic. The Golden Knights are an impressive 7-1 against the Ducks over the last two seasons, covering the puck line in five of those games. I don’t think there is any reason to overthink this one; I see the trend continuing and the Golden Knights coming out fast and dominating a rusty Anaheim squad. I will be siding with Vegas on the -1.5 puck line.




3. NBA
San Antonio Spurs - Houston Rockets: Houston +6.5
Odds: 1.91 (Unibet) kl 01:30

With all of the James Harden drama finally behind them, Houston should finally be unified. Even with John Wall being out this game, Houston still has plenty of options in terms of scoring, including up-and-coming star Christian Wood as well as all of their three-point shooters. The San Antonio Spurs’ star shooting guard DeMar DeRozan is still out due to personal issues. In the two games that he has been out, the Spurs have dropped in terms of their offensive efficiency. They have only made an average of nine shots from behind the three-point line while in the rest of the year the Spurs have been averaging 13 three-pointers per game.

The Rockets’ rookie small forward Jae’Sean Tate will have a much bigger role in this matchup with the absence of newly acquired Victor Oladipo. Tate leads the team in terms of field goal percentage shooting a ridiculous 55 percent from the field. The Rockets should be able to show great team chemistry now that they have a united roster. Wood and DeMarcus Cousins should become dual threats from the paint and the three-point line in this game.

This one should be very tight with the Spurs missing their best player and the Rockets losing Harden. This spread is too high for a matchup like this where both teams are playing without a true superstar. Betting on the best player, Christian Wood, is the right play getting this many points. Take the points and the Rockets in this Texas battle.
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