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Spel 16.1
NFL
Buffalo Bills - Baltimore Ravens: Baltimore +3.5
Odds: 1.75 (Bwin) 17.1 kl 02:15
This matchup has the potential to be the best game of the entire weekend, with both teams riding a huge wave of momentum right now. Baltimore has won its last six games, while Buffalo has won seven straight since being stung by the Hail Murray two months ago. However, for a number of reasons the Ravens could have the edge. Their defense has stepped up massively in recent weeks, holding their last four opponents to 14 points or fewer. Last time out they limited Derrick Henry to just 40 rushing yards–his worst game of the entire season.
But it isn’t just against the run where they’ve had success. Baltimore is tied for second in fewest passing yards per attempt allowed (6.4) and has completely shut down opposing quarterbacks of late. That will be crucial if they are to stop Josh Allen, who is playing the best football of his entire life right now, but if the Ravens can shut down the run and force him to throw then they have a great shot at forcing mistakes.
Turning attention to Baltimore’s offense, it is beginning to look as hot as it did during the 2019 season. Lamar Jackson and J.K. Dobbins are running all over teams, as they did against Tennessee last week; it seems no one can come up with a way of stopping the dual-threat of Jackson. The worry for the Bills is that they gave up 4.6 yards per carry during the regular season (tied for seventh most) and the sixth-most rushing touchdowns. Those issues were on full display last week, as they allowed the Colts to tally 163 rushing yards.
Both teams boast tremendous firepower on offense, but it is the Ravens who are a lot better equipped on defense to slow down the Bills. Baltimore is 7-0 ATS in its last seven and can bump that up to eight on Saturday.
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Spel 16.1
0-3 igår!
1. NCAAB
Notre Dame - Boston College: Boston College +4.5
Odds: 1.92 (Unibet) kl 22:00
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish will be trying to end a four-game losing streak when they host the Boston College Eagles on Saturday. Notre Dame is coming off consecutive losses to Virginia, North Carolina, Virginia Tech, and Virginia again. Although none of those setbacks are terrible in name, the Fighting Irish are now 0-5 in the ACC (they also fell to Duke earlier in the season) and lost three non-conference contests all by double-digits. They trailed by as many as 24 points in the second meeting with UVA before losing by 12.
Boston College knows a thing or two about halting four-game losing streaks. In fact, the Eagles just did it by beating Miami (FL) 84-62 on Tuesday. Senior guard Rich Kelly, who scored 27 points, talked afterward about how his team had been knocking on the door even during its skid and now the floodgates could open now that there is a recent check mark in the win column.
Boston College is 4-0 ATS in its last four on the road. The Fighting Irish are 1-6 ATS in their last seven overall, 0-4 ATS in their last four at home, and 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 against opponents with winning percentages under .400. It is also worth noting that the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between the two teams. Take the Eagles and the points, and do so with confidence because they might even win outright.
2. NCAAB
Mississippi State - Florida: Mississippi St moneyline
Odds: 1.94 (Unibet) kl 22:00
The Mississippi State Bulldogs will be eager to get back on the winning track when they entertain the Florida Gators on Saturday afternoon. Mississippi State has not lost two games in a row since its first two of the season, and that is a fate it will be trying to avoid after falling to Texas A&M 56-55 on Wednesday. The Bulldogs have turned things around in a big way since season-opening setbacks against Clemson and Liberty, and that’s putting it mildly. In fact, they have not lost by more than one point in regulation since Thanksgiving. This stretch includes a 78-63 drubbing of then-No. 13 Missouri last week.
Things are not going nearly as well for Florida, which is understandable given all the turmoil of this 2020-21 campaign. Keyontae Johnson, the Gators’ best player, collapsed against Florida State on Dec. 12 and will not return. With Johnson out, they don’t have anyone averaging more than 14.0 ppg (Tre Mann). UF is coming off a win over Ole Miss, but that was preceded by losses to Alabama and Kentucky–the latter in especially alarming 76-58 fashion.
Florida is 2-5 ATS in its last seven following an ATS win. The Bulldogs are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 following a loss and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against opponents with winning percentages of .600 or better. Back Mississippi State and do so with confidence.
3. NCAAB
Alabama - Arkansas: under 162 poäng
Odds: 1.90 (Bet365) kl 21:30
The under makes some sense here. Smith’s absence is big for Arkansas, and Alabama isn’t quite at full strength either. Jahvon Quinerly, the Crimson Tide’s third leading scorer at 13 points per game, hasn’t played in the last few contests. Neither team shoots the ball particularly well from downtown, so we don’t have to worry about this one getting too out of hand in a hurry. Both these teams play at fast paces, and I think that perception has caused this total to get a bit inflated.
Each of these teams are used to running, so I don’t think it will really be much of an advantage for either offense. With each team missing a key piece on offense and neither team shooting the ball well from deep, there’s no way I could go over a total this high.
4. NHL
NY Rangers - NY Islanders: NY Islanders moneyline
Odds: 1.88 (Coolbet) kl 01:00
The New York Islanders looked fast and on the same page Thursday night, as they pumped the New York Rangers 4-0. Andres Lee lead the team with two goals and–fresh off a new contract–Matthew Barzal scored to secure the win for his team. I was impressed with Semyon Varlamov, who recorded the shutout saving all 24 shots he faced. After making it to the Conference Finals in the playoff bubble in 2020, the Islanders look like a team that will be challenging for the East Division title. It will be important to get wins against the bottom-feeders like the Rangers.
The Islanders struggled against the Rangers last year, going 1-2-1, however this Rangers team is rebuilding with young stars like Kaapo Kakko and Alexis Lafreniere who might need a few games to settle in. With this game being a back-to-back at Madison Square Garden, I anticipate that the Rangers will turn to backup goalie Alexandar Georgiev; he struggled with a 3.04 GAA last year. The Islanders’ offense is clicking and will look to build on a strong performance and take another two points away from their in-state rivals. Take the Islanders.