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Ursprungligen postat av Strappa71
In handicapping these kind of races racing times is only a small factor. Why? There are so much tactics involved in swedish racing that time analysis focus oftentimes it will do you more harm than good.
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I can second this. Due to factors like tactics and weather parameters it's not uncommon with a string of 5 races or more from a horse with misleadingly bad statisticd. And record times can be misleading as well. As a rule of thumb I never look at finishing time as significant in itself. Instead look at the races and see how that was in pace from start to finish, with the interval times (500/1000/finish) in relation to each other to determine the value of that acheivement by the horse.
Don't know what your hypothesis is. But if you are looking for a statistic model that weigh heavily on finishing times then it is oversimplifying and will lead to sub-optimizing.