[lieht]

Datum: 2010-10-31
Tid: 18:00
Sport: Ishockey
Land: Norge Get Ligaen 201
Liga: Norwegian Get Ligaen 2010
Match: Storhamar - Manglerud Star

Spel: Storhamar -1.5
Insats: 3
Odds: 1.80
Bolag: Pinnaclesports/Bet365

Motivering:
Current Stats (22-3-1)

Pick Storhamar -1.5 @ 1.80 (Bet365, Pinnaclesports) 3u


WriteUp: This is a strong pick, and might deserve a higher unit stake, but im settling for 3.

Manglerud is one of the worst teams in the league, but they have managed to take 13 points. Mostly because of their perfomances against the other teams in the bottom. Last game they met Frisk/Asker, who has only one win this season. The game ended in 2-1 to Manglerud, but it was clear that this game was between two teams that have problems with their gameplay.

If you take away the game against Frisk/Asker, Manglerud has had a very tough schedule. They've faced Valerenga away (1-4 loss), Sparta at home (2-7 loss), Stavanger away (2-12 loss), Lorenskog at home (1-3 loss) and Lillehammer at home (6-5 win). The Lillehammer game was abit of an upset, but the fact that they let in 5 goals in their first win against a decent team is not very impressive, this game was also played 2 weeks ago. Its no secret that Manglerud has had troubles scoring, with 29 goals in 14 games and 58 goals allowed, they are one of the worst teams in both genres.

As most teams in the bottom, Manglerud looses their games quickly, often in the first or early in the second period. They have one win this season on the road, against Stjernen (5-2). Theres not much to add in that game, as both of the teams are as bad. If you dont count that game, Manglerud has 7:32 on the road after 6 away games. Now they will face Storhamar who is one of the best home teams in the league, as most of their points come from their home games.

They have won 6 out of their 7 home games. Only loosing the one against Sparta (2-3), who is in a completly different level right now. Storhamar has beaten all the other top teams at home though, Lorenskog (5-3), Stavanger (7-4), Valerenga (2-1). Last game was tough though, as they only won with one goal against Rosenborg. The game started well and they managed to get an early lead, Rosenborg answered with 3 quick goals, but Storhamar managed to get another one in to make it 2-3 before breaktime. Rosenborg had a 4-3 lead before the 3rd period, Storhamar managed to win the game 5-4, with two goals in the 3rd.

It was an important game for Storhamar to win, as they have to win those games even though they dont have a good day. There was a sign of underestimation from Storhamar's side, and I bet that they wont make that mistake again. This is an important game for Storhamar, as they cannot afford to loose these kind of matches. Also if they win they will stick with the "big four". There will be free entrance for kids to this game, not that it should matter that much, but as Storhamar is one of the best home teams, it might even make them better.

Statistics: Storhamar have 7-0-1 against Manglerud, all games have ended with 2+ goal wins or more, except one. All of Storhamar's home wins this season have ended in 2+ goal wins or more, except two (2-1 Valerenga), (5-4 Rosenborg). All of Mangleruds losses after regular time on the road this season have ended in 2+goals or more.

With the fact that Storhamar has a much better team , and are great home team this bet should be solid. Im placing 3units. Best of Luck