[lieht]

Datum: 2010-11-03
Tid: 17:30
Sport: Ishockey
Land: Ryssland
Liga: KHL
Match: OHK Dinamo Moscow - Salavat Yulayev Ufa

Spel: Över 2.5
Insats: 3
Odds: 1.85
Bolag: Betsafe

Motivering:
FADE Material #1, Jag har varit otroligt cold på senaste tiden. Så rygga på egen risk...nu har jag sagt det.


Dynamo Moscow over 2.5 (Team Total) @ 1.85 (Betsafe) 3u

Salavat comes from a pathetic performance at Vityaz, 3-2 loss against the worst team in the league. To be fair, Vityaz deserved to win, they played the game as they had to do in order to win, Straight for the goal, back down and start over. I and many others had bigger expectations for the game, but it was clear that the Salavat players did not want to win. This has been their problem throughout this season, they've picked up Bars Kazan's strategy, play good enough to get in the play offs and give it all there.

It is clear that the big stars in Salavat need a big arena and lots of people watching in order to play well, they have only played 6 under games, these games have been against Amur, Novkuznetsk, Torpedo, Atlant, Sev.Cherepovec and last Vityaz. The things these teams have in common is that they are either considered to be weak or they are based on their defense. Salavat hates to play against teams with structure, it ruins their game as they are winning on their invidual skills.

The fact is that Salavat has one of the best rosters in the league, if not the best, they have the biggest star in the KHL, Radulov, who is currently leading the points/assist table. Teamed up with Thoresen who has scored 14 goals so far, and Robert Nilsson, who I think is overrated, but lets not get into that. Salavat's PP is the best in the league statistically 25%, while their PK is at 81.6%. It reflects their games, try to score more goals then our shit defense lets in. Because Salavat's defense has been really pathetic this season, it has started to look better now, but with the goalies that the team have, the defense has to have a higher quality.

Moscow's PP is also really good as they are in the top 4, 20.5%. They also have the best PK in the league (87.5%) and let in the least amount of goals (39), while Salavat has allowed 66. The cause for that is Moscow's structure in the game, they have a great allround team and these kind of teams tend to cause troubles for teams like Salavat. 8 out of Salavat's 10 away games, the home team has managed to go over the 2.5 line. In one of the under games, Salavat lost 2-0 against Atlant, who havent gone over the 5.5 line at home this season.

Moscow's homegames this season have been great as they have won 8 out of their 11 home games. In these games they have managed to go over the 2.5 line 8 times. The 3 times they did not go over were against , Torpedo, Atlant and Riga. Teams that are based on their defense. As I see this game, this should be a great pick. Moscow's structure and play at home is something that will cause trouble for Salavat. Salavat on the other hand comes from an embarrassing loss against Vityaz, and probably want to take revenge, but in order for their offense to work, their defense has to lack.

Im backing this team total for 3 units.