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Frisk/Asker – Lillehammer IK

PICK: Lillehammer to win @ 1.70 (Betway)

Lillehammer is in a great form at the moment, probably the best team in the league right now. Their start after the break has been really good, before the break though Lillehammer had troubles with their results. In their last seven games before the break, they lost six of them. Now they have won five of their 6 games after the break, and the last three games have to be considered as their best achievement this season.

These are Lillehammer’s last three games,

05/12-10 Lillehammer vs. Vaalerenga 6:3

02/12-10 Sparta vs. Lillehammer 2:5

28/11-10Lillehammer vs. Stavanger 4:3 (OT)

The results are very impressive by the team, especially defeating Sparta on the road. Something to add in that game is Lillehammer’s second and third period. Sparta had great pressure in the offensive zone and despite being outshot by Sparta, Lillehammer managed to keep Sparta from scoring. The main reason for that was Lillehammer’s goaltender, Jonathan Boutin. Boutin kept Lillehammer in the game, and without him the numbers would definitely been different.

Frisk/Asker’s recent results look like this,

07/12-10 Vaalerenga vs. Frisk/Asker 6:1

05/12-10 Stjernen vs. Frisk/Asker 6:2

02/12-10 Frisk/Asker vs. Manglerud/Star 3:2

28/11-10 Storhamar vs. Frisk/Asker 7:0

Not much to say about the results, other than the fact that they are pathetic on the road. Their home games seem to have improved after the break, as they actually defeated Sparta (6-4) and took a relatively non-embarrassing loss against Valerenga (2-5) and defeating Manglerud (3-2). I would not rate the win against Sparta to high though, as they have been a different kind of team lately. Overall though, Frisk/Asker looks to be the same team as they have been all season.

These teams have already faced each other two times this season; first game was on the road for Lillehammer as they won 7-4. Second game they lost at home 3:4 after shootouts. Not much to add in these games, other than the fact that Lillehammer has had rollercoaster results this season. Frisk/Asker’s goal difference after the break is 18:39, with 8 games played. If you take away the game where they managed to score 6 goals, you get 12:35, 7 games played.

Lillehammer’s goal difference after the break is 31:14, with 8 games played. Although 7 of these matches are home games, the statistics are amazing compared to before the break. Frisk/Asker is the team that has allowed most goals in the league, and Lillehammer has been the best offensive team lately. The game is quite important for the team as they have to start winning to catch up with the other teams, the wins against Valerenga/Sparta must’ve boosted their confidence in the team.

I don’t see Lillehammer loosing this one, their defense has been very solid lately with Boutin, and they have been really effective in the offensive zone. Frisk/Asker’s “good” home results won’t mean much as Norway’s best team right now will visit. 1.70 for Lillehammer win is too high, as I expected it to be around 1.50-1.55, 1.60 at tops.