| 2010-12-22 20:30 | German Cup | Aachen vs Frankfurt ÖVER |
Ö 2.5 |
FT |
1 |
1.940 |
Kör min motivering på engelska denna gång då jag inte orkar skriva den först på engelska och sen på svenska, kan bli så ett tag framöver.
Aachen vs Frankfurt
Pk over 2.5 @ 1.94 ladbrokes 4/10
Reasoning
Two offensive teams here, Aachen from Bundesliga 2 is 75% over on their home field in bundesliga 2. Scoring 25 and recieving 24 in 17 games makes it an average on 2.88. Only 2 clean sheets at home against 2 teams worse placed in Bundesliga 2.
Frankfurt over in 78% of their away games in bundesliga scoring 24 and recieving 21 goals in 17 matches makes it an average of 2.64.
Today we have these lineups according to frankfurt homepage:
EINTRACHT: Michael Skibbe könnte am heutigen Mittwoch folgende Elf auf das Feld schicken: Fährmann – Jung , Vasoski, Schwegler, Tzavellas – Clark, Köhler (Korkmaz) - Ochs, Meier, Altintop – Gekas
AACHEN: Hohs – Casper, Stehle, Feisthammel, Achenbach – Kratz – Höger, Arslan, Junglas – Auer, Stieber
This means that Frankfurt starts with the reserve keeper in goal, and lets Vasoski start in the back with only 6 games so far this season. Clark takes place on the midfield and he started only 4 games this season. Besides that we have a fair lineup, with the offensive players intact.
Aachen starts with a strong lineup and shows that they are seriuos in this match. I find it unlikely that we will see any team keeping a clean sheet here and most likely we will see more than 3 goals.
Not that it matters but both teams are over in both their cup ties this season and they are over in 9 and 8 out of last 10 over the last couple of years. The sides met some years ago and it ended 6-4, I hope to see that again.
Ladbrokes are offering high 1.94, Pinnacle 1.90. I think that over should be more of a favourite, as some bookies agree with and keeps it down to 1.75ish.