| 2010-12-27 21:00 | Premier League |  Arsenal vs Chelsea TOTAL BOOKING POINTS UNDER |
55.5 |
FT |
1 |
1.750 |
Reasoning
First, statistics:
Arsenal averages
26.25 vs 20 at home = 46.25
27.65 vs 19.41 total = 47.06
Chelsea averages
20 vs 17.78 on the road = 37.78
16.18 vs 16.47 total = 32.65
Premier league average is 38.55 so if you messure the expected bookings and even it out so it considers how many bookings each team recievs and cause against the average side in PL we should have a total here on 21.22 booking points.
If you consider the historical aspects it looks like this:
16/12 -07: 10 bookings
23/3 -08: 4 bookings
30/11 - 08: 2 bookings
10/5 - 09: 1 booking
29/11 -09: 4 bookings
7/2 -10: 4 bookings
3/10 -10: 2 bookings
todays game will be held by referee M. Clattenburg and he averages 35 booking points/PL fixture this season. We have a couple of players risking a league ban if they are booked today and they are: Chamakh, Song, Fabregas and Ivanovic this should mean that at they have been told to hold back some what. Atleast the players for Arsenal, since Wenger wouldn't wan all of them away with bans at the same time.
The derbies between these sides doesn't come with as harsch play as many other derbys and I consider this line to be to high.