| 2011-01-04 21:00 | Premier League | Blackpool vs Birmingham X |
X |
FT |
1 |
3.470 |
Reasoning
High flying Blackpool hosts Birmingham disappointment Blues tonight @ 21:00.
Hosts with home record 2-2-2 11-11 and guests with away record 0-5-4 9-14. So we are looking at a home team spreading their results all over and an away team still looking for the first win.
Blackpool with a offensive style football, always looking to score one more than their opponeant. I think there is a reason why they have a better home record than away record, the reason for me is clear. The reason is at home they are in some way expected to be the team that dictates the game, keep possesion and break down defences. That is not their game, they like counter attacking and looks to take advantage of home teams misstakes. We have seen them trash a bad Wigan, at the first fixture of the season. Nothing special about a newly promoted team winning the first round, they also did against a Wigan that played crap in the beginning of the season.
We also saw Chelsea and Arsenal dispose Blackpool like yesterdays garbage and even saw them loosing in Birmingham to both Villa and Blues. They beat Magpies at S:t James's Park and a dissoriented Liverpool at Anfield.
Hammers and Bolton had them to a draw and they beat a weak Stoke before getting a lucky win against Sunderland that couldnt find the goal dispite lots of chances. Last away game they lost o City 1-0.
For me their away record is clear, they have taken advantage in the games were their opponent messed up, great job and they deserve respect for their achievements.
I am actually waiting for their high flying to crash any time soon. At home they are expected tonight to break down one of the hardest defences in the Premier League. I know that Birmingham has not yet lived up to expectations set after last season. But a late draw against United sums up Birmingham for me, they are hard to beat and they are very keen on holding on to the point they start the game with.
Birmingham will most likely go in to this match with a 4-5-1 formation and after the loss against Arsenal on Boxing Day I think they will be very cautious.
I was initially in to backing The Seasiders, but I think they are too short. 2.30 at best on a team that so far dropped points in 4/6 home games and 11/18 total?
Grandin and Carney is missing for the hosts and Blues has no new injuries to worry about. Asian handicap on Blues might be a call for some, I wan't to try backing the draw as I see this game ending level close to 1/3 of all games.