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Gammal 2011-01-24, 19:34   #303
RobinD
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Reg.datum: jan 2010
Inlägg: 7 444
Sharp$: 5408

Fotboll 2013
Stats: 306 - 184 - 57
ROI: 104.46%
Vinstprocent: 62.45%

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Ogiltigt spel-ID: 254320



Reasoning

Two weak teams against each other down at the bottom of the table. I can't reallt see why Sittard should be priced at arround EVS. It implies that they should win 50% of their home games against Almere.

That is just wrong, Almere is 3-3-12 in total and 2-0-7 at home against Sittard who are 2-2-14 in total and 1-1-6 at home.

The form is also in favour of Almere I think, yes they are both 1-1-4 last six, but remember that Almere had the lead at home to Den Bosch, they had the lead with 2 men down against RBC, they tied the game at home to Waalwijk and turned arround 2-0 and won 4-2 at Dordrecht. Whilst Sittard had the lead against AGOVV and Telstar and still lost, both of them weaker teams. Yes they had an upset winning away to Waalwijk but came back down with two straight defeats after and the last clear 3-0 away from home to Dordrecht.

I feel these teams are equally bad, and there are little or no home pitch advantage. These odds are to short for the home team and I will give them a try.
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