Läsvärt:
Whether you're new to football analytics or not, this summary of TSR, PDO and ExpG by @JamesWGrayson is a must read
Som jag ser det består betting av två helt skilda delar:
- bettingteori, dvs implicita odds, varians, EV, BRM, osv...
- en analysdel(artikeln) som egentligen inte har nåt med betting öht att göra.
Den andra delen är ju dock inte nödvändig för att vara vinnande så länge man ännu får spela hos EU-bookies men utan dessa wannabebookies är man ju förr eller senare tvungen att göra sina egna gränsvärden för att slå de man innan tog sina gränsvärden från
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"…a soccer match is equivalent to two teams throwing a dice. The number 6 means goal and the number of attempts of both teams is fixed already at the beginning of the match, reflecting their respective fitness in that season."