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Mare Nostrum · 2010-01-26, 17:46

Ottawa Senators - New Jersey Devils PK @ 2.40 alt ML @ 1.86
Ottawa har varit grymma sen Alfredssons comeback, 6 raka segrar! Devils har inte alls varit lika bra det senaste 6 matcherna - 2 vinster, 4 förluster. I förra matchen mot formstarka Islanders blev det dock seger med 4-2 och det är ett litet styrkebesked. Dock tror jag ändå på att formstarka Ottawa tar ytterligare en seger ikväll, frågan är om man bör lira ML eller PK...
Hittade förövrigt en liten analys på covers.com:

"I saw this game on Sunday night when my card for the next few days came out and it jumped off the page at me.

I’ve been riding the Sens for a week and a half now – yes, since the Dodgeball in Central Park thing back on the Lucky 13th. Since then the Sens have won six straight and have only allowed 7 goals in those 6 games.

When this all started for the Sens, Mike Brodeur was called into service to fill in for an injured Pascal Leclaire and Brian Elliot. Brodeur slammed the door for two games straight, but then he came down with the flu. Elliot jumped back in and kept things going nicely winning the next 4 straight starts. I have no idea where Leclaire is these days – perhaps sharpening the team skates.

Anyway the Sens have gelled defensively as people expect the Devils to do all season, with their history of strong defensive play. But the Devils, here and now, look more like the Sens-of-old than they would care to admit to.

It’s hard to point a finger at the Jersey Boy’s inconsistent play. But one fact does jump out at me looking at the Devils L10 games. Either Marty B. throws a no-hitter or he gets lit up. Devils/Marty have had three SO’s in their L10. But apart from those three games, they have allowed (2, 3, 4, 3, 4, 4, 1) 21 goals in the other 7 games. That is very un-Beelzebub like.

There is a historical trend at play here between these two teams. Devils have won the last nine games straight in this matchup (all three this season 4-2, 3-1, 3-2). All three were played in November and early December when the Sens literally sucked.

Give the choice between the historical dominance of the Devils in the series, and the more pertinent trend of the home team Sens on a 6-pack of wins - I’ll go with the current trend thank you very much.

As I mentioned I got my line (WCLC) on this game Sunday night and I have Ottawa as a slight Home Dog with the O/U 5.5 so I’m taking that to the bank. I see it opened online with the home Sens -115 and an O/U 5. While the 5 would make me back off the total, I still would be all over the Sens at home.

Of the three teams on a current 6 win streak (best in the League) the Sens(6) offer the best odds as a slight home Fav than Washington(6) does on the road in Long Island Tuesday (dangerous game to play the Caps PL) or where ever Colorado(6) will play next. I’ll take the Sens as my favorite 6-6-6 possibility.

Ottawa are currently safely in 5th in the East – 7 pts. behind Sabres & Pens, and 5 pts. in front of Philly, Montreal, and the NYR. A home win over the Devils would go a long way to sending a message to the top teams in the East that there is one more player in that Conference they had better keep an eye on.

I’ll never step in front of a rolling freight train, so the Sens are Part 1 of a Tuesday parlay."

2010-01-26, 17:46	#18
Mare Nostrum Reg.datum: jan 2010 Inlägg: 104 Sharp$: 0	Ottawa Senators - New Jersey Devils PK @ 2.40 alt ML @ 1.86 Ottawa har varit grymma sen Alfredssons comeback, 6 raka segrar! Devils har inte alls varit lika bra det senaste 6 matcherna - 2 vinster, 4 förluster. I förra matchen mot formstarka Islanders blev det dock seger med 4-2 och det är ett litet styrkebesked. Dock tror jag ändå på att formstarka Ottawa tar ytterligare en seger ikväll, frågan är om man bör lira ML eller PK... Hittade förövrigt en liten analys på covers.com: "I saw this game on Sunday night when my card for the next few days came out and it jumped off the page at me. I’ve been riding the Sens for a week and a half now – yes, since the Dodgeball in Central Park thing back on the Lucky 13th. Since then the Sens have won six straight and have only allowed 7 goals in those 6 games. When this all started for the Sens, Mike Brodeur was called into service to fill in for an injured Pascal Leclaire and Brian Elliot. Brodeur slammed the door for two games straight, but then he came down with the flu. Elliot jumped back in and kept things going nicely winning the next 4 straight starts. I have no idea where Leclaire is these days – perhaps sharpening the team skates. Anyway the Sens have gelled defensively as people expect the Devils to do all season, with their history of strong defensive play. But the Devils, here and now, look more like the Sens-of-old than they would care to admit to. It’s hard to point a finger at the Jersey Boy’s inconsistent play. But one fact does jump out at me looking at the Devils L10 games. Either Marty B. throws a no-hitter or he gets lit up. Devils/Marty have had three SO’s in their L10. But apart from those three games, they have allowed (2, 3, 4, 3, 4, 4, 1) 21 goals in the other 7 games. That is very un-Beelzebub like. There is a historical trend at play here between these two teams. Devils have won the last nine games straight in this matchup (all three this season 4-2, 3-1, 3-2). All three were played in November and early December when the Sens literally sucked. Give the choice between the historical dominance of the Devils in the series, and the more pertinent trend of the home team Sens on a 6-pack of wins - I’ll go with the current trend thank you very much. As I mentioned I got my line (WCLC) on this game Sunday night and I have Ottawa as a slight Home Dog with the O/U 5.5 so I’m taking that to the bank. I see it opened online with the home Sens -115 and an O/U 5. While the 5 would make me back off the total, I still would be all over the Sens at home. Of the three teams on a current 6 win streak (best in the League) the Sens(6) offer the best odds as a slight home Fav than Washington(6) does on the road in Long Island Tuesday (dangerous game to play the Caps PL) or where ever Colorado(6) will play next. I’ll take the Sens as my favorite 6-6-6 possibility. Ottawa are currently safely in 5th in the East – 7 pts. behind Sabres & Pens, and 5 pts. in front of Philly, Montreal, and the NYR. A home win over the Devils would go a long way to sending a message to the top teams in the East that there is one more player in that Conference they had better keep an eye on. I’ll never step in front of a rolling freight train, so the Sens are Part 1 of a Tuesday parlay." Följande användare gav Sharp$ för den här posten: