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RobinD 2011-01-18 19:46

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 245725



Reasoning

Mechelen are travelling without top striker Benteke, regular midfielder/defender Geudens and Ghomsi.

These are 3 regulars from all 3 parts of outer field. I think it is to much for Mechelen to grab a win here and I will give Eupen a try with full draw cover since I feel Eupen has to show more than nice play to gain my respect to the fullest.

RobinD 2011-01-19 13:17

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 246618



Reasoning

Venlo has big injury troubles for this game first goalkeeper Gentenaar along with Yochiba and Van Kouwen in defence are all out. From front lines they will miss Linssen and Uchebo.

Despite the fact that Utrecht will miss Van Wolfswinkel and the fact that they have been poor travelers I think that they are big enough to beat a poor host with 5 possible starters away.

RobinD 2011-01-19 13:34

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 246663



Reasoning

Top 2 teams compete here for the promotion spot, Lommel is a strong host with 8-2-0 24-17. OH Leuven is a decen traveller, but they have showed some problems when facing the bigger teams in the league on away pitch.

This is pretty much were KVSK Lommel can decide the league. by winning this game they grab a 4 point lead to OH Leuven and a 6 point lead to Mons if they win. I think this is an excellent chance for KVSK to prove why they are the one for Jupiler League this year.

RobinD 2011-01-19 14:19

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 246686



Reasoning

Suarez is still suspended in the league for the bite he took before the break, El Hamdaui is injured and sick and Urby Emanuelson is out injured. These 3 players are vital for Ajax offense, all though there are other players who can score Ajax has showed a run of low scoring games for a pretty long time now. 30th of October they scored 4 goals, after that we have seen only one game out of 6 with more than 1 ajax goal.

Feyenoord have an excellent chance for an upset here I think 3 games in a row with no loss and only 2 losses since the awful 10-0 defeat to PSV.

Feyenoord is not an excellent traveller, but I think they are geting closer to their shape and to avoid a +2 goal defeat to a weakened Ajax seems possible.

mangofreak 2011-01-19 14:56

Citat:

Ursprungligen postat av RobinD (Inlägg 98082)

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 246686



Reasoning

Suarez is still suspended in the league for the bite he took before the break, El Hamdaui is injured and sick and Urby Emanuelson is out injured. These 3 players are vital for Ajax offense, all though there are other players who can score Ajax has showed a run of low scoring games for a pretty long time now. 30th of October they scored 4 goals, after that we have seen only one game out of 6 with more than 1 ajax goal.

Feyenoord have an excellent chance for an upset here I think 3 games in a row with no loss and only 2 losses since the awful 10-0 defeat to PSV.

Feyenoord is not an excellent traveller, but I think they are geting closer to their shape and to avoid a +2 goal defeat to a weakened Ajax seems possible.

Gillar denna, hoppas bara inte att Mido är på spelhumör. Jag är med! :cheers:

Pacman 2011-01-19 15:16

Hade denna sedan tidigare också, Ajax uppställningen ser väl inte alltför farlig ut.

‎18 players selected for tomorrow: Stekelenburg, Verhoeven, van der Wiel, Alderweireld, Vertonghen, Anita, Enoh, Sulejmani, Eriksen, de Jong, Ooijer, Blind, Lindgren, de Zeeuw, Oleguer, Cvitanich, Ebecilio, Lukoki

mangofreak 2011-01-19 15:23

Citat:

Ursprungligen postat av Pacman (Inlägg 98100)
Hade denna sedan tidigare också, Ajax uppställningen ser väl inte alltför farlig ut.

‎18 players selected for tomorrow: Stekelenburg, Verhoeven, van der Wiel, Alderweireld, Vertonghen, Anita, Enoh, Sulejmani, Eriksen, de Jong, Ooijer, Blind, Lindgren, de Zeeuw, Oleguer, Cvitanich, Ebecilio, Lukoki

Enda offensiva hotet är Sulejmani och Eriksen då möjligtvis, ingen Mido med i truppen :popcorn:

Vlad 2011-01-19 17:26

Citat:

Ursprungligen postat av mangofreak (Inlägg 98103)
Enda offensiva hotet är Sulejmani och Eriksen då möjligtvis, ingen Mido med i truppen :popcorn:

Cvitanich?

Varför allt snack om Mido han spelar inte för Ajax. De släppte honom för några veckor sen då han är tjock och oduglig :)

mangofreak 2011-01-19 17:36

Citat:

Ursprungligen postat av Vlad (Inlägg 98153)
Cvitanich?

Varför allt snack om Mido han spelar inte för Ajax. De släppte honom för några veckor sen då han är tjock och oduglig :)

Oh fan, såg några av hans mål under December och det verkade som att han var igång igen, men icke tydligen. Har ingen vidare koll på Cvitanich för att vara ärlig.

Vlad 2011-01-19 17:42

Citat:

Ursprungligen postat av mangofreak (Inlägg 98159)
Oh fan, såg några av hans mål under December och det verkade som att han var igång igen, men icke tydligen. Har ingen vidare koll på Cvitanich för att vara ärlig.

Man vet aldrig med Mido han kanske kommer tillbaka igen. Han har talang men är lite knepig minst sagt :p

Cvitanich är väldigt bra iaf i Mexikanska ligan,återstår att se hur han lyckas i Europa. Sorry för OT RobinD.

RobinD 2011-01-19 17:45

:popcorn:

mackyyy 2011-01-19 20:37

Tack för Utrecht :) Satt hårt åt tidsmässigt, men desto skönare då ;)

RobinD 2011-01-21 17:24

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 249651



Reasoning

Almere experienced a heavy defeat last game away from home, leading 2-0 with one man down and still loosing 4-2 with all 4 goals conceded in second half. If that wasn't enogh they had a red card on Dompig and he is out tonight. On top of that they recently failed to achieve some ecnomical obligations to the Dutch federation and they have been punished with a 3 point deduction on top of the deduction they had opening this season due to same problems. Because of the deduction they have dropped down to relegation zone again and I don't think it will be any brighter after this game.

RKC has a tendency to mix it up a bit, failing to win against Achilles in the Cup this week yes, Benson has served his suspension and is back and sidelined instead is Van Peppen.

I think the quality is to great here, RKC after all is closing up on Zwolle.

RobinD 2011-01-21 23:36

Gött med en vinnare.

RobinD 2011-01-22 19:07

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 251695



Reasoning

Home pitch factor is of huge importance in Eredivisie and NEC is a decent side. They have one of the best scores in the league in Vleminckx.

NAC Breda is on an uptrend but got some troubles today.

"NAC Breda NEC miss this weekend for nearly half of the intended base team. Besides Leonardo attackers, Matthew Amoah and Ali Boussaboun also missing defenders Rob Penders and Gabor Horvath. "It's just not easy, " sighs John Karelse coach on the official website of the Brabant team.

So you come from Turkey and it all looks good and two weeks later you're stuck with a lot of injuries, "he continues." Well, every injury has its own story. Leonardo, he might be back Thursday against Ajax. Amoah yet. Penders possible, but again not Horváth. And Ali Boussaboun's still gone. "Also Ferne Snoyl (injury) and Tim Gilissen (suspension) are missing.

Karelse is wary of NEC. "A great team with a lot of movement up front, a lot of football in midfield and backs that are very often turn aggressive. It is for the opponent, we are so in this case, a matter of continuous good communication. who is pulling whom? And ninety minutes long.""

It drops so I went with copy paste on team news. Google translate, so have some patience!

I predict an easy home win here.

RobinD 2011-01-22 19:43

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 251755



Reasoning

Hard to motivate this game without just pointing at the quality gap between the teams. Charleroi is a very poor side, they are without quality for the first league in almost all players and it is a miracle they didn't relegate last season. This season is beyond saving and with 8 consecutive loosing games they dont know feeling of success anymore.

I have personally backed teams against Charleroi for a record of 6-1 @ 1.86 average odds (handicaps and straight bets). One of the winners for instance was against a team from lower division in the cup! I managed to miss one of their rare draws in the beginning of the season where they still stood up from time to time.

This has off course litte or nothing to do with tonights game, but the fact that any team gets priced over EVS in Charleroi is a bit strange in my world.

Mechelen is certainly not one of the teams that should be priced like this. Yes I tried to fade them last game and they beat Eupen away 1-0. They are mostly a home team, but 4-1-4 away is more than ok when their successors was named Anderlecht, Gent, Kortrijk and Lokeren.

I think I have jinxed this game enough by this writeup so I will leave it at that.

RobinD 2011-01-23 00:58

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 252174



Reasoning

Utrecht misses Vanwolfswinkel, Mulenga, Zullo, Kogel, Oar and doubts on Silberbauer and Mertens.

Meaning that they have their best scorer away, their second in doubt and their third out.

Ajax are still missing El Hamadoui, Emanuelson and Suarez. These odds on under when all the scorers are away and Ajax is under in 7 straight games. Yes Utrecht is over in all home games, but I think conditions are others tomorrow.

RobinD 2011-01-23 11:25

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 252458



Reasoning

Visé powerful in attack, but has showed a suspect defence at late. Standard Wetteren comes from two under draws but are more then capable of nicking one or two in and do from time to time let 3-4 slip past their own defence.

Visé on home field is respecltless and goes for victory, should not be a closed game this one.

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 252459



Reasoning

Twente showed good shape last game beating poor Heracles 5-0 at home, they have been on a slightöy bumpy road last 6 games loosing half and winning half of them. Most importanly they are leaking goals away from home.

Letting 6 slip past to Heerenveen, 2 to NEC and 2 to NAC. On the other hand scoring 2, 4 and 1 in the same away games. IN every away game this season where they conceded they are over 2.5.

Groningen is not a team uncapable of scoring, quite contrary in fact. In only 2/10 games they have failed to score 2 or more. Their strenght has been as good in defence this season, but mainly lower placed teams has visited. When Ajax came the score ended in 2-2.

This is a game where I think we will see a Twente go all out attack, Janko on fire after 4 goals last game and PSV is tailed closely.

RobinD 2011-01-23 13:15

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 252692



Reasoning

KVSK put on a great display last game against second placed OH Lueven. A little worse on away pitch, but against one of the weakest teams in the league I will keep backing KVSK as I predict them to finish of the title race early this season.

Pacman 2011-01-23 13:22

Då jobbar vi in denna, tog den tidigare idag :D

RobinD 2011-01-23 18:20

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 253143



Reasoning

Lokeren are missing teir topstriker De Ceulare and midfielder Tschimanga, these are heavy losses as they are two of thei best players. Gent can take back the third place today and they are a good home side. Lokeren are impressing this season, mostly on home field, but some good draws at away grass as well. Tonight they will need to work hard to stay in the game and I think it will be to much. Gent has fully fit squad to choose their lineup from.

RobinD 2011-01-23 23:37

Räddade dagen med två spel i Belgiska Jupiler, 3-1-2 och miniplus.

Imorgon spelas

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 253582


RobinD 2011-01-24 19:34

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 254320



Reasoning

Two weak teams against each other down at the bottom of the table. I can't reallt see why Sittard should be priced at arround EVS. It implies that they should win 50% of their home games against Almere.

That is just wrong, Almere is 3-3-12 in total and 2-0-7 at home against Sittard who are 2-2-14 in total and 1-1-6 at home.

The form is also in favour of Almere I think, yes they are both 1-1-4 last six, but remember that Almere had the lead at home to Den Bosch, they had the lead with 2 men down against RBC, they tied the game at home to Waalwijk and turned arround 2-0 and won 4-2 at Dordrecht. Whilst Sittard had the lead against AGOVV and Telstar and still lost, both of them weaker teams. Yes they had an upset winning away to Waalwijk but came back down with two straight defeats after and the last clear 3-0 away from home to Dordrecht.

I feel these teams are equally bad, and there are little or no home pitch advantage. These odds are to short for the home team and I will give them a try.

RobinD 2011-01-25 23:24

[ame]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g7SEYIqGwu4[/ame]

Där har ni sammandraget ifrån Sparta - AGOVV.

Notera från 1.24 in i klippet att det är minut 91 och ställning 3-3 då...

DamageINC 2011-01-25 23:52

Citat:

Ursprungligen postat av RobinD (Inlägg 99964)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g7SEYIqGwu4

Där har ni sammandraget ifrån Sparta - AGOVV.

Notera från 1.24 in i klippet att det är minut 91 och ställning 3-3 då...

Ååh vad en pass i förstaläget hade suttit fint. Eller en bättre touch för den delen. Surt men så är det ibland, bra rek iaf.

Vlad 2011-01-25 23:56

Han har ju två lägen att spela bollen,vafan då :whoco5:

snooze 2011-01-25 23:57

Citat:

Ursprungligen postat av RobinD (Inlägg 99964)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g7SEYIqGwu4

Där har ni sammandraget ifrån Sparta - AGOVV.

Notera från 1.24 in i klippet att det är minut 91 och ställning 3-3 då...

haha fan hur kunde han missa...... han kunde ju passat till killen brevid....:cry:;)

comprende 2011-01-26 00:02

självtortyr...
funkar google translate på videoklipp?? ;)

Overkill 2011-01-26 01:44

Fy fan alltså.....

RobinD 2011-01-26 08:09

Citat:

Ursprungligen postat av comprende (Inlägg 99991)
självtortyr...
funkar google translate på videoklipp?? ;)

Var en kille som postade länken i min tråd på **********.

Känns ju kul att veta att spelet borde suttit:)

RobinD 2011-01-26 17:04

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 256977



Reasoning

Following Utrechts demolition of Ajax last weekend I think this is a natural follow up bet. I expected a low scoring game then and got a 3-0 victory and an impressive play from Utrecht with several regulars away from the lineup. They showed that they can score and create chances even without Vanwolfswinkel.

Groningen welcomes the return of Tim Sparv, Finish national player returns from suspension and brings knowledge to the midfield. Groningen is 67% over in away field and Utrecht still 100% over in home field in the league. This odd is to high and it is dropping fast.

RobinD 2011-01-26 22:54

gick ju bra det där.

skarabe 2011-01-26 22:59

Ja tack för den! Den gick in snabbt!

RobinD 2011-01-28 16:00

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 259473



Reasoning

Two good offensive teams take on each other here. Both with defences that aloow goals. Both of these teams are overrepresented in overs in total. RKC scores a lot on home field and have cleared or given this line a push in 5/10 games on their own. 6/10 they are over and only once have they gone under.

Den Bosch has one clean sheet on away field against week Fortuna. Besides that they are over in 6 and on push once on this line.

I quite fancy this and will try it in medium.

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 259453



Reasoning

Helmond is in form and chasing period victory as they are off to a good start in the third period currently holding third spot after Zwolle and MVV. Dordrecht is a fair side but grabs most of their points at home and/or against the bootom half teams.

Helmond misses Andrade, their top scorer but they have plenty of cover. Dordrecht trainer complains about lack of consistency due to injury problems, I can see that last game was played without 4-5 of the most capped players this season, but since I can't find more appropriate info of their injuries I will hold this bet to a standard.

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 259492


Ogiltigt spel-ID: 259492



Reasoning

Last home game for NEC against NAC they gave away the victory at late letting in the 2-2 goal. This time against poor travellers Heracles I hope and think for more points. I think 1.90 is generous on a solid NEC side against such a poor away side as Heracles. Fully fit squad for NEC and Vlemincxk scores goals.

Heracles are also a team with very poor defending and the number of chances NEC produced last game should be enough to produce atleast 2 goals tonight. Heracles need to collect points and I can't see them doing it with intention of keeping 0-0. Offensive game to be played is my guess for tonight.

snooze 2011-01-28 17:42

den bosh sålde ju sin beästa striker just nu Verhoek 10+ mål, samt har man skaffat en ny målvakt från utrecht för att deras egna sög. kommer inte detta påverka över? eller du tror waalwijk göra alla 3+ målen?:)

BOL

RobinD 2011-01-28 19:30

Citat:

Ursprungligen postat av snooze (Inlägg 100919)
den bosh sålde ju sin beästa striker just nu Verhoek 10+ mål, samt har man skaffat en ny målvakt från utrecht för att deras egna sög. kommer inte detta påverka över? eller du tror waalwijk göra alla 3+ målen?:)

BOL

Jag trodde iaf inte att det skulle påverka i den utsträckningen som det ser ut att göra. 0-0 i paus och mina överspel fortsätter att vara kalla...

RobinD 2011-01-29 12:08

Katastrof igår.. upp på hästen i Belgien idag.

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 260450



Reasoning

Club Brugge picked up their form again after the new year and are again included in the titel race. GBA picked up their first win in the leage in a long time beating Zulte last weekend. In the midweek they again lost to Cercle 2-0 on away field.

Club Brugge is the bigger team here, missing in Brugge is keeper Stijn Stijnen, Hoefkens and Blondel.

For GBA we find: "Bart Goor *, Wim De Decker, Tome Pacovski, Mike Smet, Dudu and Bavon Tshibuabua absence due to injury. Daniel Cruz saw his suspension reduced to two rounds a conditional suspension of a match day and can just play tonight. "

GBA will struggle tonight.

Overkill 2011-01-29 12:21

Är inte oddset en tiondel högre @ Pinnen, RobinD? :)

RobinD 2011-01-29 13:20

Citat:

Ursprungligen postat av performance (Inlägg 101110)
Är inte oddset en tiondel högre @ Pinnen, RobinD? :)

jo det är det, misstype:)

RobinD 2011-01-29 16:11

Ogiltigt spel-ID: 260919



Reasoning

Kortrijk is a tight team in house and only let 7 goals slip past them. They have mostly been against weeker teams, and some times they ment nothing for the outcome of the game.

Besides from Anderlecht, Lieges goal in stoppage time is the only one they let pass from upper half teams.

They just recently sold Mboye to Gent and only have Rossini as a fit striker tonight. Cercle is a team that is slightly overrepresented in the overs on away field. But remember that they beat Charleroi with 5-0, lost Clearly to Zulte with 4-0 and Genk with 3-0.

Circumstances that needs to be considered when going for a goal line here. This is a game also which is of importance to both teams in the fight for playoff spots. Cercle may be a bit tired as they were playing a midweek cup game this week as well.



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