KK:s Speldagbok

KK · 2012-04-09, 20:48

Sport Football (Italy)
Event Chievo - AC Milan
Selection Milan
Strength 10/10
Date 10/04/2012
Bookmaker/Price Ladbrokes @ 1.66
Reasoning

The price keeps dropping very fast. Still it might not be such a easy game but everything over 1.5 has value imo.

Milans injury problems are well known this season, now they have a couple of more important players suspended. Good news, Nesta is back, so is Cassano who made a cameo last match.

Chievo is safe and can play relaxed. That could also mean that they cant defend 90+´minutes against Milans waves of attack, with the same focus and hard work.

Milan still with a lot of attacking options in Ibra, Maxi, El Shaarawy, Cassano, Robinho and Boateng at their disposal.

After the loss against Fiorentina they dropped to 2nd in the league and they will have to win everygame thats left and hope for Juve to stumble along the way.

KK · 2012-04-09, 20:50

Glömde också nämna att Milan har vunnit sina senaste 10 matcher mot just Chievo.

KK · 2012-04-10, 06:36

Sport Football (Germany)
Event Hertha Berlin - Freiburg
Selection Hertha Berlin -0.25
Strength 10/10
Date 10/04/2012
Bookmaker/Price sbobet @ 1.94
Reasoning

First off, Hertha are undefeated in 9 of their 10 last matches versus Freiburg. And thats a good tell, before a very difficult match.

Freiburg have gone thru a lot of changes. The remodified their squad not so long ago, offloading a host of players, among them Demba Cisse, their profilic goalscorer. Instead they took in a bunch of youngsters, and they have suprised and played very well.

Even with a lot of defensive absentees, they continued to get results, and are working hard to play top flight football next league.

Tuesday will be a decisive day, like every round, but as Mainz hosts Köln, and Augsburg hosts Stuttgart, the bottom of the table can get a lot clearer.

Hertha brought in Otto Rehhagel recently, to help the team stay up. It have been with mixed results, but surely better then before. And they look to improve after each game.

Freiburgs youngsters, will surely miss two influential key players, in captain Julian Schuster who broke his nose against Nurnberg last game, and will miss rest of the season, according to reports. The man who took over the captains armband from him, was Cedrick Makiadi, midfielder, and also 2nd in the internal goalscoring ranking, after the departured Cisse.

Thats two influential players not being able to help out a injurie depleted and young team in a direct relegation fight away from home.

Hertha have a lot of experience in Otto Rehhagel as coach , but also in Kobiashvili, Ottl, Lell, and Raffael.

This should all favour the home side, in a intense match.

KK · 2012-04-10, 12:02

Sport Football (Italy)
Event Genoa - Cesena
Selection Genoa -1.5
Strength 10/10
Date 11/04/2012
Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle @ 2.43
Reasoning

Genoa is dangerously closing to the relegation zone. being just above it, with 4 points down to Lecce. Having draw their last 3 matches and sacking Marino as coach and replacing him with Malesani, whos no stranger to this team as he have coached them before.

This will be his first home game in charge, and anything except a win is a big dissapointment, and will anger the homefans.

Sculli is a doubt, Constant and Antonelli are injured and Kucka suspended. Palacio and Gilardino will start in attack and it will be difficult for Cesena to resist them as the home side have scored at least 3 in their last 4 home matches against Cesena.

Cesena, already relegated are playing only for proud. Despite som OK results lately, they are still very poor, and have not scored in 7 of their 8 last matches. Also suffering from poor dicipline they have seen a lot of red cards and suspensions.

Injuries to Guana, Parolo, Iaquinta, Martinez, Pudil and Malonga (and more) will make them even weaker.

Genoa need to put distance between themselves and Lecce, as the teams above them Parma and Fiorentina, play at home against, respectively, Novara and Palermo.

If they dropp points and Lecce win, they will be seriously in danger of going down. So I expect a team with only winning on their mind, and at home against the leagues poorest team who got nothing to play for they should be able to do it.

KK · 2012-04-10, 13:38

Sport Football (Spain)
Event Sporting Gijon - Levante
Selection Levante 0 (Asian-handicap)
Strength 10/10
Date 11/04/2012
Bookmaker/Price sbobet @ 2.00
Reasoning

Having lost to direct relegation rivals, Granada (away) and Zaragoza (@ home) among others in their last 6 matches, Sporting Gijon now finds themselves 7 points from safety with as many matches left.

There next match will be at the Bernabeu, so they cant really count on any points there.

Gijon have failed to win in 12 of their last 13 matches, conceding at least 2 goals in 5 of their last 7. And they will miss Carmelo thru suspension, Eguren, Gregory and Ricardo with injuries.

Manager Clemente have stirred up emotions after criticizing the quality of his squad, arguing in bad taste with reporters and picking som strange tactics against Getafe last time out, playing Alberto Lora out of position in central midfield.

Levante on the other hand are getting back to the nice freeflowing football that saw them climb very high in the first part of the season. The injuries have cleared, and players are hitting form at the right moment, to finish the league on high.

They play Barcelona at home after this one, so they should be looking for points here if they want to make it to europe.

Undefeated in 7 games against Gijon, a side with a unstable manager who have lost both the confidence of his troops but also the fans who have been shouting for him to get the sack, under lot of pressure and low morale.

Gijon needs to win, and they have to attack, and that will suit the guests with their "fast break" style of football.

2012-04-09, 20:48	#31
KK Reg.datum: mar 2012 Inlägg: 31 Sharp$: 59	Sport Football (Italy) Event Chievo - AC Milan Selection Milan Strength 10/10 Date 10/04/2012 Bookmaker/Price Ladbrokes @ 1.66 Reasoning The price keeps dropping very fast. Still it might not be such a easy game but everything over 1.5 has value imo. Milans injury problems are well known this season, now they have a couple of more important players suspended. Good news, Nesta is back, so is Cassano who made a cameo last match. Chievo is safe and can play relaxed. That could also mean that they cant defend 90+´minutes against Milans waves of attack, with the same focus and hard work. Milan still with a lot of attacking options in Ibra, Maxi, El Shaarawy, Cassano, Robinho and Boateng at their disposal. After the loss against Fiorentina they dropped to 2nd in the league and they will have to win everygame thats left and hope for Juve to stumble along the way. Följande användare gav Sharp$ för den här posten:

2012-04-09, 20:50	#32
KK Reg.datum: mar 2012 Inlägg: 31 Sharp$: 59	Glömde också nämna att Milan har vunnit sina senaste 10 matcher mot just Chievo. Följande användare gav Sharp$ för den här posten: Senast redigerad av KK den 2012-04-10 klockan 07:03.

2012-04-10, 06:36	#33
KK Reg.datum: mar 2012 Inlägg: 31 Sharp$: 59	Sport Football (Germany) Event Hertha Berlin - Freiburg Selection Hertha Berlin -0.25 Strength 10/10 Date 10/04/2012 Bookmaker/Price sbobet @ 1.94 Reasoning First off, Hertha are undefeated in 9 of their 10 last matches versus Freiburg. And thats a good tell, before a very difficult match. Freiburg have gone thru a lot of changes. The remodified their squad not so long ago, offloading a host of players, among them Demba Cisse, their profilic goalscorer. Instead they took in a bunch of youngsters, and they have suprised and played very well. Even with a lot of defensive absentees, they continued to get results, and are working hard to play top flight football next league. Tuesday will be a decisive day, like every round, but as Mainz hosts Köln, and Augsburg hosts Stuttgart, the bottom of the table can get a lot clearer. Hertha brought in Otto Rehhagel recently, to help the team stay up. It have been with mixed results, but surely better then before. And they look to improve after each game. Freiburgs youngsters, will surely miss two influential key players, in captain Julian Schuster who broke his nose against Nurnberg last game, and will miss rest of the season, according to reports. The man who took over the captains armband from him, was Cedrick Makiadi, midfielder, and also 2nd in the internal goalscoring ranking, after the departured Cisse. Thats two influential players not being able to help out a injurie depleted and young team in a direct relegation fight away from home. Hertha have a lot of experience in Otto Rehhagel as coach , but also in Kobiashvili, Ottl, Lell, and Raffael. This should all favour the home side, in a intense match. Följande användare gav Sharp$ för den här posten:

2012-04-10, 12:02	#34
KK Reg.datum: mar 2012 Inlägg: 31 Sharp$: 59	Sport Football (Italy) Event Genoa - Cesena Selection Genoa -1.5 Strength 10/10 Date 11/04/2012 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle @ 2.43 Reasoning Genoa is dangerously closing to the relegation zone. being just above it, with 4 points down to Lecce. Having draw their last 3 matches and sacking Marino as coach and replacing him with Malesani, whos no stranger to this team as he have coached them before. This will be his first home game in charge, and anything except a win is a big dissapointment, and will anger the homefans. Sculli is a doubt, Constant and Antonelli are injured and Kucka suspended. Palacio and Gilardino will start in attack and it will be difficult for Cesena to resist them as the home side have scored at least 3 in their last 4 home matches against Cesena. Cesena, already relegated are playing only for proud. Despite som OK results lately, they are still very poor, and have not scored in 7 of their 8 last matches. Also suffering from poor dicipline they have seen a lot of red cards and suspensions. Injuries to Guana, Parolo, Iaquinta, Martinez, Pudil and Malonga (and more) will make them even weaker. Genoa need to put distance between themselves and Lecce, as the teams above them Parma and Fiorentina, play at home against, respectively, Novara and Palermo. If they dropp points and Lecce win, they will be seriously in danger of going down. So I expect a team with only winning on their mind, and at home against the leagues poorest team who got nothing to play for they should be able to do it. Följande användare gav Sharp$ för den här posten:

2012-04-10, 13:38	#35
KK Reg.datum: mar 2012 Inlägg: 31 Sharp$: 59	Sport Football (Spain) Event Sporting Gijon - Levante Selection Levante 0 (Asian-handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 11/04/2012 Bookmaker/Price sbobet @ 2.00 Reasoning Having lost to direct relegation rivals, Granada (away) and Zaragoza (@ home) among others in their last 6 matches, Sporting Gijon now finds themselves 7 points from safety with as many matches left. There next match will be at the Bernabeu, so they cant really count on any points there. Gijon have failed to win in 12 of their last 13 matches, conceding at least 2 goals in 5 of their last 7. And they will miss Carmelo thru suspension, Eguren, Gregory and Ricardo with injuries. Manager Clemente have stirred up emotions after criticizing the quality of his squad, arguing in bad taste with reporters and picking som strange tactics against Getafe last time out, playing Alberto Lora out of position in central midfield. Levante on the other hand are getting back to the nice freeflowing football that saw them climb very high in the first part of the season. The injuries have cleared, and players are hitting form at the right moment, to finish the league on high. They play Barcelona at home after this one, so they should be looking for points here if they want to make it to europe. Undefeated in 7 games against Gijon, a side with a unstable manager who have lost both the confidence of his troops but also the fans who have been shouting for him to get the sack, under lot of pressure and low morale. Gijon needs to win, and they have to attack, and that will suit the guests with their "fast break" style of football. Följande användare gav Sharp$ för den här posten: